---
title: "Boost case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Boost ($128.58) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 167.05% over 37 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Boost](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Boost

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=all)

Price · $128.58 · 203 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $111.22 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 167.05% · 37 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 27 openings · below min

30 days · 37 openings · below min

since tracking started · 37 openings · below min

86.0% 196.0% 306.0%

**Small sample.** 37 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=7d) | 27 | 219.48% ±85.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139) | 37 | 167.05% ±73.2 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/139?window=all) | 37 | 167.05% ±73.2 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7,153 11,265 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $5,693 8,966 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,976 3,112 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $1,596 2,513 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $1,403 2,209 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,194 1,881 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $710 1,118 HUNT\_COIN | 12.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $556 875 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $431 678 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $403 634 HUNT\_COIN | 18.1% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.62× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $311 490 HUNT\_COIN | 14.0% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.62× |
| [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-tropical-storm-well-worn) | 15.0% | $3.89 6.13 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.90× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blush Pour (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-well-worn) | 15.0% | $2.31 3.64 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) | 25.0% | $1.04 1.64 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 12 | 9.3 | 1.30× |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.43 0.67 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Sparven](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sparven) $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 31.22x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $1,194 1,881 HUNT\_COIN 9.29x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Scorched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-scorched-well-worn) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $556 875 HUNT\_COIN 4.32x 2026-11-07 19:37 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=139)

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $0.43 0.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-well-worn) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $2.31 3.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-well-worn) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $2.31 3.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-mainframe-001-factory-new) [Ricki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricki) $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $1.04 1.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $0.43 0.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $403 634 HUNT\_COIN 3.13x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[Souvenir SSG 08 | Tropical Storm (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-tropical-storm-well-worn) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $3.89 6.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-factory-new) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $1,194 1,881 HUNT\_COIN 9.29x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $0.43 0.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Sparven](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sparven) $129 203 HUNT\_COIN $4,014 6,322 HUNT\_COIN 31.22x 2026-11-08 22:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $129 | 86.50% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% covert 5.9% legendary 0.1% covert knife 1.0% gold 2.0% #EB4B4B 3.0% Immortal 8.0% other 15.0% blue 15.0% Rare 25.0% #8847ff 25.0% best hit $4,014 (31.22x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt