---
title: "Chululy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Chululy ($3.97) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.46% from 16 items with odds, observed 129.82% over 311 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Chululy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Chululy

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=all)

Price · $3.97 · 6.25 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.46% · EV $3.43 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 129.82% · 311 openings, odds method

Variance · 11.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 145.65% ±44.26 228 openings

30 days · 129.82% ±37.90 311 openings

since tracking started · 129.82% ±37.90 311 openings

-0.5% 160.8% 322.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 86.46% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (91.92% – 167.71%, 311 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=24h) | 6 | 48.45% ±272.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=7d) | 228 | 145.65% ±44.3 | +2.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140) | 311 | 129.82% ±37.9 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/140?window=all) | 311 | 129.82% ±37.9 | +2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 311 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $491 773 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $69.03 109 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $42.83 67.46 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $41.28 65.01 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $15.28 24.07 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $10.55 16.61 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $9.71 15.3 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 13 | 10.9 | 1.19× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Stone Mosaico (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-stone-mosaico-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.25 9.85 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 15 | 15.6 | 0.96× |
| [UMP-45 \| Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $6.06 9.55 HUNT\_COIN | 13.3% | 21 | 23.3 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $4.29 6.76 HUNT\_COIN | 9.4% | 29 | 23.3 | 1.24× |
| [SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 20 | 31.1 | 0.64× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 51 | 46.6 | 1.09× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.29 0.46 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 49 | 46.6 | 1.05× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 53 | 46.6 | 1.14× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Stained (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 36 | 46.6 | 0.77× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $491 773 HUNT\_COIN 123.7x 2026-11-05 03:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=140)

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Stone Mosaico (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-stone-mosaico-factory-new) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $6.25 9.85 HUNT\_COIN 1.58x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.34 0.54 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $4.29 6.76 HUNT\_COIN 1.08x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[UMP-45 | Mechanism (Battle-Scarred) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-mechanism-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $6.06 9.55 HUNT\_COIN 1.53x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-well-worn) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.24 0.38 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC

[FAMAS | Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $4.29 6.76 HUNT\_COIN 1.08x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Stained (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5E98D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-stained-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.97 6.25 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 06:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.97 | 86.46% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% rare 0.1% classified 3.3% restricted 5.5% Consumer Grade 15.0% other 7.5% blue 22.5% mil spec 30.0% #5E98D9 15.0% best hit $491 (123.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.46 on average: an expected loss of $13.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt