--- title: "Collector case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Collector ($206.32) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 47.03% over 62 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Collector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Collector A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=all) Price · $206.32 · 325 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $178.47 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 47.03% · 62 openings, odds method Variance · 26.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 100 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 36 openings · below min 30 days · 62 openings · below min since tracking started · 62 openings · below min -0.5% 92.8% 186.0% **Small sample.** 62 openings and 0.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=7d) | 36 | 17.33% ±168.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141) | 62 | 47.03% ±128.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/141?window=all) | 62 | 47.03% ±128.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 62 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $13.9K 21,850 HUNT\_COIN | 19.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 30.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN | 26.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $1,264 1,991 HUNT\_COIN | 12.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× | | [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.36 0.56 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 22 | 18.6 | 1.18× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 40.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 23 | 24.8 | 0.93× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN 22.88x 2026-11-04 06:35 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1,264 1,991 HUNT\_COIN 6.13x 2026-11-07 18:09 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=141) [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $1.44 2.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $206 325 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 18:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $206 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.8% contraband 1.0% restricted 56.3% industrial 40.0% best hit $4,721 (22.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt