---
title: "Clutch Kid case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Clutch Kid ($26.90) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 79.51% over 209 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Clutch Kid](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Clutch Kid

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=all)

Price · $26.90 · 42.37 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $23.27 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.51% · 209 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 16 openings · below min

7 days · 84.92% ±39.88 135 openings

30 days · 79.51% ±32.05 209 openings

since tracking started · 79.51% ±32.05 209 openings

-0.5% 82.5% 165.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=24h) | 16 | 49.02% ±115.8 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=7d) | 135 | 84.92% ±39.9 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143) | 209 | 79.51% ±32.1 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/143?window=all) | 209 | 79.51% ±32.1 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 209 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $972 1,531 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $540 850 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $368 580 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $273 430 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-royal-paladin-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $221 348 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $190 300 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $109 171 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $72.92 115 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $65.97 104 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 1 | 5.7 | 0.17× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $54.17 85.32 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $43.05 67.81 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $37.50 59.07 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 6 | 7.3 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $32.88 51.78 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) | 25.0% | $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 54 | 52.3 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 53 | 52.3 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 62 | 52.3 | 1.19× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $540 850 HUNT\_COIN 20.07x 2026-11-07 20:23 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=143)

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $32.88 51.78 HUNT\_COIN 1.22x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $109 171 HUNT\_COIN 4.04x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.62 0.98 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-etch-lord-well-worn) Hidden $26.90 42.37 HUNT\_COIN $1.63 2.56 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.90 | 86.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 7.4% covert 11.4% pink 2.8% industrial 3.5% #8847ff 25.0% restricted 50.0% best hit $540 (20.07x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt