---
title: "Deagle Mystery case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Deagle Mystery ($19.37) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 86.78% over 491 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Deagle Mystery](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Deagle Mystery

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=all)

Price · $19.37 · 30.5 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $16.75 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.78% · 491 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82 openings · below min

7 days · 82.96% ±24.24 369 openings

30 days · 86.78% ±21.01 491 openings

since tracking started · 86.78% ±21.01 491 openings

45.0% 97.0% 149.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=24h) | 82 | 97.09% ±51.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=7d) | 369 | 82.96% ±24.2 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147) | 491 | 86.78% ±21.0 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/147?window=all) | 491 | 86.78% ±21.0 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 491 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $397 626 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.63× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $265 418 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $196 309 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $160 252 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $138 217 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 7 | 5.9 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $81.25 128 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 5 | 10.8 | 0.46× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $52.92 83.35 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 15 | 12.3 | 1.22× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $45.83 72.19 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 14 | 13.5 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $40.29 63.45 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 16 | 14.7 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $30.86 48.61 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 25 | 16.0 | 1.57× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $26.86 42.31 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 12 | 17.2 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $23.49 37 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 15 | 19.6 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-well-worn) | 25.0% | $1.10 1.74 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 123 | 122.8 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.73 1.15 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 121 | 122.8 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 125 | 122.8 | 1.02× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=147)

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $1.10 1.74 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.73 1.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.73 1.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Sputnik (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $1.10 1.74 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-well-worn) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $30.86 48.61 HUNT\_COIN 1.59x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Urban Rubble (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-rubble-battle-scarred) Hidden $19.37 30.5 HUNT\_COIN $0.39 0.62 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $19.37 | 86.50% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 3.6% restricted 4.1% classified 1.8% covert 5.3% Mythical 3.0% Industrial Grade 3.3% Legendary 4.0% blue 25.0% mil spec 25.0% milspec 25.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt