--- title: "Default Plant case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Default Plant ($4.68) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.44% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.07% over 204 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Default Plant](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Default Plant A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=all) Price · $4.68 · 7.37 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.44% · EV $4.04 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.07% · 204 openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 24 openings · below min 7 days · 88.59% ±19.46 174 openings 30 days · 88.07% ±17.97 204 openings since tracking started · 88.07% ±17.97 204 openings 24.5% 77.5% 130.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=24h) | 24 | 77.53% ±52.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=7d) | 174 | 88.59% ±19.5 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148) | 204 | 88.07% ±18.0 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/148?window=all) | 204 | 88.07% ±18.0 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 204 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $42.20 66.47 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $17.09 26.91 HUNT\_COIN | 21.1% | 13 | 10.2 | 1.27× | | [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $8.26 13.01 HUNT\_COIN | 15.3% | 12 | 15.3 | 0.78× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $5.82 9.17 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 13.0% | $4.31 6.79 HUNT\_COIN | 13.9% | 27 | 26.5 | 1.02× | | [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) | 15.0% | $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN | 13.9% | 23 | 30.6 | 0.75× | | [Sticker \| Bomb Code sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-code) | 15.0% | $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 29 | 30.6 | 0.95× | | [Sticker \| Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) | 35.0% | $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 77 | 71.4 | 1.08× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=148) [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sticker | Bomb Code sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-code) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sticker | Bomb Code sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-code) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [P250 | See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $4.31 6.79 HUNT\_COIN 0.92x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-well-worn) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC [Sticker | Ninja Defuse sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninja-defuse) Hidden $4.68 7.37 HUNT\_COIN $0.67 1.06 HUNT\_COIN 0.14x 2026-11-11 11:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.68 | 86.44% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 9.0% Mythical 5.0% mil spec 8.0% covert 13.0% uncommon 15.0% High Grade 15.0% Rare 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.44 on average: an expected loss of $13.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt