--- title: "Dont Peek case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Dont Peek ($7.63) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.45% from 12 items with odds, observed 85.92% over 345 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Dont Peek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Dont Peek A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=all) Price · $7.63 · 12.02 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.45% · EV $6.60 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.92% · 345 openings, odds method Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 94.87% ±19.78 306 openings 30 days · 85.92% ±18.63 345 openings since tracking started · 85.92% ±18.63 345 openings 49.5% 115.8% 182.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=24h) | 28 | 115.77% ±65.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=7d) | 306 | 94.87% ±19.8 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149) | 345 | 85.92% ±18.6 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/149?window=all) | 345 | 85.92% ±18.6 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 345 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $72.92 115 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.87× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $51.58 81.24 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $44.25 69.7 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.55× | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $37.07 58.39 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 6 | 6.0 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $31.61 49.78 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $25.38 39.98 HUNT\_COIN | 19.2% | 14 | 17.3 | 0.81× | | [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $19.91 31.36 HUNT\_COIN | 21.1% | 28 | 24.2 | 1.16× | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 10.0% | $0.99 1.56 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 26 | 34.5 | 0.75× | | [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 62 | 51.8 | 1.20× | | [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 54 | 51.8 | 1.04× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 70 | 69.0 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 64 | 69.0 | 0.93× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=149) [AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $25.38 39.98 HUNT\_COIN 3.33x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC [Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC [AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.63 12.02 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.63 | 86.45% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.5% Ancient 2.5% violet 25.0% blue 17.0% Rare 30.0% restricted 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.45 on average: an expected loss of $13.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt