--- title: "10% Sticker case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "10% Sticker ($104.15) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 83.97% over 665 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [10% Sticker](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 10% Sticker A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=all) Price · $104.15 · 164 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $90.08 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.97% · 665 openings, odds method Variance · 10.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 6 openings · below min 7 days · 79.85% ±26.40 582 openings 30 days · 83.97% ±24.70 665 openings since tracking started · 83.97% ±24.70 665 openings -0.5% 130.5% 261.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=24h) | 6 | 0.88% ±260.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=7d) | 582 | 79.85% ±26.4 | −0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151) | 665 | 83.97% ±24.7 | −0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/151?window=all) | 665 | 83.97% ±24.7 | −0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 665 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Titan sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan) | 1 in 500 | $3,472 5,469 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) | 1 in 333 | $3,318 5,225 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) | 1 in 67 | $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN | 25.2% | 14 | 10.0 | 1.40× | | [Sticker \| LGB eSports sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports) | 1 in 50 | $694 1,094 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 12 | 13.3 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| Fnatic sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic) | 1 in 40 | $657 1,035 HUNT\_COIN | 18.2% | 15 | 16.6 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers) | 1 in 29 | $556 875 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 21 | 23.3 | 0.90× | | [Sticker \| Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) | 40.0% | $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 282 | 266.0 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Welcome to the Clutch sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-welcome-to-the-clutch) | 50.0% | $0.76 1.2 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 319 | 332.5 | 0.96× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $3,318 5,225 HUNT\_COIN 31.86x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $3,318 5,225 HUNT\_COIN 31.86x 2026-11-07 11:26 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-10 10:48 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-09 11:07 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-09 10:25 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-09 07:34 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-07 15:34 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-07 15:27 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-07 15:00 UTC [Sticker | Team LDLC.com sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $1,511 2,380 HUNT\_COIN 14.51x 2026-11-07 14:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=151) [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Welcome to the Clutch sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-welcome-to-the-clutch) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.2 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 15:57 UTC [Sticker | Welcome to the Clutch sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-welcome-to-the-clutch) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.2 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [Sticker | Welcome to the Clutch sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-welcome-to-the-clutch) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.2 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [Sticker | Nice Clutch (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nice-clutch-holo) Hidden $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.95 1.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC [Sticker | Welcome to the Clutch sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-welcome-to-the-clutch) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $104 164 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.2 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-10 10:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $104 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed other 10.0% violet 40.0% high 50.0% best hit $3,318 (31.86x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt