--- title: "Banana Control case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Banana Control ($8.96) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.46% from 8 items with odds, observed 87.03% over 447 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Banana Control](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Banana Control A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=all) Price · $8.96 · 14.11 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.46% · EV $7.75 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.03% · 447 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 38 openings · below min 7 days · 87.64% ±15.60 277 openings 30 days · 87.03% ±12.28 447 openings since tracking started · 87.03% ±12.28 447 openings 58.0% 100.8% 143.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=24h) | 38 | 100.78% ±42.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=7d) | 277 | 87.64% ±15.6 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154) | 447 | 87.03% ±12.3 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/154?window=all) | 447 | 87.03% ±12.3 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 447 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) | 10.0% | $36.11 56.88 HUNT\_COIN | 46.6% | 51 | 44.7 | 1.14× | | [Sticker \| Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) | 10.0% | $23.26 36.64 HUNT\_COIN | 30.0% | 40 | 44.7 | 0.89× | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $12.43 19.57 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 37 | 44.7 | 0.83× | | [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-well-worn) | 12.5% | $2.30 3.63 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 56 | 55.9 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| CT in Banana sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ct-in-banana) | 12.5% | $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 61 | 55.9 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) | 12.5% | $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 48 | 55.9 | 0.86× | | [Sticker \| Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) | 12.5% | $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 59 | 55.9 | 1.06× | | [MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-well-worn) | 20.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 95 | 89.4 | 1.06× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=154) [Sticker | Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | CT in Banana sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ct-in-banana) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | CT in Banana sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ct-in-banana) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) [Sr.Calavera](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sr.Calavera) $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [Sticker | Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.78 1.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [Sticker | Stupid Banana (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stupid-banana-foil) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $23.26 36.64 HUNT\_COIN 2.60x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [MAC-10 | Monkeyflage (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-well-worn) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC [XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) Hidden $8.96 14.11 HUNT\_COIN $36.11 56.88 HUNT\_COIN 4.03x 2026-11-11 10:53 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $8.96 | 86.46% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Industrial Grade 10.0% exotic 10.0% classified 10.0% violet 12.5% Rare 12.5% #4b69ff 32.5% high 12.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.46 on average: an expected loss of $13.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt