---
title: "Eco Round case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eco Round ($11.79) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 86.40% over 232 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Eco Round](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Eco Round

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=all)

Price · $11.79 · 18.57 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $10.20 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.40% · 232 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 73.84% ±50.52 184 openings

30 days · 86.40% ±44.99 232 openings

since tracking started · 86.40% ±44.99 232 openings

-0.5% 124.5% 249.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=24h) | 14 | 65.65% ±183.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=7d) | 184 | 73.84% ±50.5 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156) | 232 | 86.40% ±45.0 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/156?window=all) | 232 | 86.40% ±45.0 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 232 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $283 445 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $217 341 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $136 214 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.16× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $51.39 80.94 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $33.82 53.27 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.21× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $29.03 45.73 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 5 | 8.1 | 0.62× |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $21.75 34.25 HUNT\_COIN | 10.7% | 8 | 11.6 | 0.69× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $17.05 26.86 HUNT\_COIN | 12.5% | 19 | 17.4 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $11.82 18.61 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 16 | 17.4 | 0.92× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 10.0% | $1.45 2.29 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 21 | 23.2 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.74 1.17 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 32 | 34.8 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 37 | 34.8 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 37 | 34.8 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 39 | 34.8 | 1.12× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=156)

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hybrid-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.63 1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $51.39 80.94 HUNT\_COIN 4.36x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[P250 | Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $21.75 34.25 HUNT\_COIN 1.84x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wraiths (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wraiths-battle-scarred) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.74 1.17 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) Hidden $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $1.45 2.29 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) [VladutBossul](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/VladutBossul) $11.79 18.57 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 20:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $11.79 | 86.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 14.6% covert 0.8% classified 7.7% rare 2.0% Covert 7.5% red 7.5% mil spec 15.0% Mil Spec 15.0% violet 15.0% Rare 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt