--- title: "Extra Rifles case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Extra Rifles ($109.58) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 142.83% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Extra Rifles](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Extra Rifles A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=all) Price · $109.58 · 173 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $94.78 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 142.83% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 5.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 40.0% 151.0% 262.0% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 1.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=7d) | 16 | 151.04% ±110.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157) | 20 | 142.83% ±98.9 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/157?window=all) | 20 | 142.83% ±98.9 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $6,250 9,844 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $5,278 8,312 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $2,840 4,473 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,667 2,625 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $1,326 2,089 HUNT\_COIN | 3.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 182 | $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN | 7.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,007 1,586 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $610 960 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $480 755 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $346 545 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $292 459 HUNT\_COIN | 15.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 15.0% | $3.77 5.94 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-factory-new) | 15.0% | $2.22 3.5 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.33× | | [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.14 1.8 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 7 | 5.0 | 1.40× | | [M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.29 0.45 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.20× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN 11.13x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $610 960 HUNT\_COIN 5.56x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=157) [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $3.77 5.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-08 10:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 10:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $480 755 HUNT\_COIN 4.38x 2026-11-08 10:03 UTC [M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-factory-new) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $2.22 3.5 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 10:03 UTC [M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mud-spec-battle-scarred) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $0.29 0.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC [AK-47 | Panthera onca (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-factory-new) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $326 514 HUNT\_COIN 2.98x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC [AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $1.14 1.8 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) Hidden $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN 11.13x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [Macieja](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Macieja) $110 173 HUNT\_COIN $610 960 HUNT\_COIN 5.56x 2026-11-07 12:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $110 | 86.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 4.4% contraband 0.0% classified 7.6% #eb4b4b 3.0% legendary 5.0% milspec 15.0% violet 15.0% Rare 25.0% blueLight 25.0% best hit $1,219 (11.13x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt