--- title: "Famas Fantasy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Famas Fantasy ($4.73) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.38% from 16 items with odds, observed 96.96% over 329 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Famas Fantasy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Famas Fantasy A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=all) Price · $4.73 · 7.45 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.38% · EV $4.09 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 96.96% · 329 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 99.25% ±16.54 246 openings 30 days · 96.96% ±14.30 329 openings since tracking started · 96.96% ±14.30 329 openings 57.5% 133.0% 208.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=24h) | 12 | 132.77% ±74.9 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=7d) | 246 | 99.25% ±16.5 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158) | 329 | 96.96% ±14.3 | +1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/158?window=all) | 329 | 96.96% ±14.3 | +1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 329 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $39.58 62.34 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 9 | 4.1 | 2.19× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $15.89 25.02 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 0 | 4.9 | 0.00× | | [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $13.89 21.88 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 9 | 6.6 | 1.37× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $11.82 18.62 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $10.03 15.79 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 13 | 8.2 | 1.58× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $9.02 14.2 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 9 | 9.9 | 0.91× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 18 | 13.2 | 1.37× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $7.21 11.36 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 12 | 14.0 | 0.86× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $6.79 10.7 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 21 | 16.4 | 1.28× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $5.56 8.76 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 13 | 19.7 | 0.66× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $5.18 8.16 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 27 | 24.7 | 1.09× | | [FAMAS \| Cyanospatter (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-cyanospatter-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.71 1.12 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 38 | 49.4 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 51 | 49.4 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 55 | 49.4 | 1.11× | | [Souvenir FAMAS \| Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-faulty-wiring-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 45 | 49.4 | 0.91× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=158) [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.55 0.87 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-mecha-industries-field-tested) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $10.03 15.79 HUNT\_COIN 2.12x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $32.81 51.68 HUNT\_COIN 6.94x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [Souvenir FAMAS | Faulty Wiring (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-famas-faulty-wiring-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 17:16 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN 1.76x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-sergeant-well-worn) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $6.79 10.7 HUNT\_COIN 1.44x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Bad Trip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-well-worn) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $7.21 11.36 HUNT\_COIN 1.52x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Survivor Z (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-survivor-z-battle-scarred) Hidden $4.73 7.45 HUNT\_COIN $0.69 1.09 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-11 17:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.73 | 86.38% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.5% Legendary 3.8% covert 5.0% restricted 7.0% Restricted 4.0% uncommon 4.3% milspec 36.0% #4b69ff 7.5% #87c7ff 15.0% other 15.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.38 on average: an expected loss of $13.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt