---
title: "D Lore Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "D Lore Dream ($36.57) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.38% from 2 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:08Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [D Lore Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · D Lore Dream

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=all)

Price · $36.57 · 57.6 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 87.38% · EV $31.96 from 2 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 304.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 400 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/16?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 2 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $12.8K 20,125 HUNT\_COIN | 100.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| NAF (Gold) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-gold) | 99.8% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=16)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $36.57 | 87.38% | 2 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% other 99.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.38 on average: an expected loss of $12.62 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt