---
title: "Full Buy case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Full Buy ($7.73) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.46% from 8 items with odds, observed 72.76% over 1,021 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Full Buy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Full Buy

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=all)

Price · $7.73 · 12.17 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.46% · EV $6.68 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.76% · 1,021 openings, odds method

Variance · 34.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 111 openings · below min

7 days · 68.75% ±42.40 740 openings

30 days · 72.76% ±36.10 1,021 openings

since tracking started · 72.76% ±36.10 1,021 openings

-0.5% 86.0% 172.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=24h) | 111 | 62.28% ±109.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=7d) | 740 | 68.75% ±42.4 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160) | 1,021 | 72.76% ±36.1 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/160?window=all) | 1,021 | 72.76% ±36.1 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,021 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,701 2,679 HUNT\_COIN | 12.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.31× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $194 306 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.31× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $135 213 HUNT\_COIN | 20.3% | 13 | 10.2 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $95.77 151 HUNT\_COIN | 21.5% | 10 | 15.3 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $57.37 90.35 HUNT\_COIN | 17.2% | 13 | 20.4 | 0.64× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) | 35.0% | $0.90 1.41 HUNT\_COIN | 4.7% | 355 | 357.3 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) | 60.0% | $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 624 | 612.6 | 1.02× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=160)

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.90 1.41 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

[M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 12.17 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.73 | 86.46% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% Covert 1.5% red 2.0% restricted 35.0% #8847ff 60.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.46 on average: an expected loss of $13.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt