---
title: "Global Elite case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Global Elite ($1.39) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.13% from 8 items with odds, observed 86.04% over 934 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Global Elite](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Global Elite

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=all)

Price · $1.39 · 2.19 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.13% · EV $1.20 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.04% · 934 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.37% ±25.24 115 openings

7 days · 85.99% ±9.35 838 openings

30 days · 86.04% ±8.85 934 openings

since tracking started · 86.04% ±8.85 934 openings

67.5% 93.5% 119.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=24h) | 115 | 93.37% ±25.2 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=7d) | 838 | 85.99% ±9.35 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161) | 934 | 86.04% ±8.85 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/161?window=all) | 934 | 86.04% ±8.85 | −0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 934 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $12.92 20.35 HUNT\_COIN | 16.2% | 13 | 14.0 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN | 22.6% | 56 | 46.7 | 1.20× |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $2.39 3.77 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 62 | 70.0 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.65 2.6 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 56 | 74.7 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 13.0% | $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN | 15.1% | 134 | 121.4 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.30 2.04 HUNT\_COIN | 16.2% | 135 | 140.1 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 142 | 140.1 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 35.0% | $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 336 | 326.9 | 1.03× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=161)

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) [VladutBossul](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/VladutBossul) $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN 3.89x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $2.39 3.77 HUNT\_COIN 1.72x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) [VladutBossul](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/VladutBossul) $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $0.06 0.1 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[AK-47 | Crossfade (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $1.65 2.6 HUNT\_COIN 1.19x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) Hidden $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN 1.00x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $1.39 | 86.13% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Ancient 1.5% restricted 27.5% blue 8.0% #8847ff 13.0% industrial 50.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.13 on average: an expected loss of $13.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
