--- title: "Half Life case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Half Life ($104.99) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 91.21% over 24 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Half Life](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Half Life A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=all) Price · $104.99 · 165 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $90.82 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.21% · 24 openings, odds method Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 24 openings · below min 30 days · 24 openings · below min since tracking started · 24 openings · below min 49.0% 91.3% 133.5% **Small sample.** 24 openings and 5.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=7d) | 24 | 91.21% ±41.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163) | 24 | 91.21% ±41.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/163?window=all) | 24 | 91.21% ±41.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $387 610 HUNT\_COIN | 21.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $226 357 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.56× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $205 324 HUNT\_COIN | 22.6% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× | | [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 12.0% | $159 251 HUNT\_COIN | 21.0% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $89.47 141 HUNT\_COIN | 14.8% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | | [Sticker \| Baaa-ckstabber! sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baaa-ckstabber) | 15.0% | $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× | | [Sticker \| Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) | 15.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | | [Sticker \| Backstab sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-backstab) | 20.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=163) [Sticker | Backstab sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-backstab) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $159 251 HUNT\_COIN 1.52x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [Sticker | Baaa-ckstabber! sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baaa-ckstabber) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $226 357 HUNT\_COIN 2.16x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [Sticker | Backstab sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-backstab) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $226 357 HUNT\_COIN 2.16x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [Sticker | Baaa-ckstabber! sticker · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baaa-ckstabber) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.83 1.3 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $89.47 141 HUNT\_COIN 0.85x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [Sticker | Backstab sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-backstab) Hidden $105 165 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $105 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 13.0% covert 37.0% milspec 15.0% High Grade 15.0% Rare 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt