--- title: "Hunter case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Hunter ($150.31) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 167.50% over 4 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:53Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Hunter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Hunter A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=all) Price · $150.31 · 237 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $130.02 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 167.50% · 4 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min 44.5% 167.5% 290.5% **Small sample.** 4 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165) | 4 | 167.50% ±122.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/165?window=all) | 4 | 167.50% ±122.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $486 766 HUNT\_COIN | 37.4% | 2 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 10.0% | $409 645 HUNT\_COIN | 31.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 10.0% | $339 534 HUNT\_COIN | 26.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 12.5% | $20.72 32.64 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [Nova \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 12.5% | $15.28 24.06 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 12.5% | $13.86 21.83 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Hunter (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.51 2.38 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Hunting Blind (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-hunting-blind-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.69 1.08 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=165) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $150 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 10.0% covert 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 12.5% mil spec 25.0% blue 12.5% Common 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt