--- title: "Doppler case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Doppler ($125.63) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.64% over 65 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Doppler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Doppler A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=all) Price · $125.63 · 198 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $108.67 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.64% · 65 openings, odds method Variance · 5.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 26 openings · below min 30 days · 65 openings · below min since tracking started · 65 openings · below min 35.0% 126.3% 217.5% **Small sample.** 65 openings and 3.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=7d) | 26 | 126.80% ±90.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166) | 65 | 92.64% ±57.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/166?window=all) | 65 | 92.64% ±57.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 65 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,507 7,098 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $2,546 4,010 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $1,667 2,625 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $1,194 1,881 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $521 820 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.10× | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $397 626 HUNT\_COIN | 9.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $305 481 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $264 416 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.03× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald Quartz (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $186 292 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× | | [AWP \| Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $183 289 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 8 | 2.3 | 3.52× | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $139 219 HUNT\_COIN | 5.1% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.77× | | [Souvenir Nova \| Green Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-factory-new) | 25.0% | $8.04 12.67 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× | | [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 25.0% | $5.25 8.27 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.17× | | [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 25.0% | $2.99 4.71 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 12 | 16.3 | 0.74× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $1,080 1,701 HUNT\_COIN 8.60x 2026-11-04 06:05 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 6.58x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 4.15x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 4.15x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 4.15x 2026-11-05 08:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=166) [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $5.25 8.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $8.04 12.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $521 820 HUNT\_COIN 4.15x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $8.04 12.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $5.25 8.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [AWP | Green Energy (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-factory-new) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $183 289 HUNT\_COIN 1.46x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC [M249 | Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $2.99 4.71 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC [PP-Bizon | Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $5.25 8.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-factory-new) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $8.04 12.67 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $126 198 HUNT\_COIN $827 1,303 HUNT\_COIN 6.58x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $126 | 86.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #ffd700 0.1% covert knife 4.7% epic 0.5% extraordinary 3.8% restricted 27.5% covert 2.8% mil spec 3.3% rare 3.5% #8847ff 4.0% Industrial Grade 25.0% industrial 25.0% best hit $1,080 (8.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt