--- title: "Dragon Glass case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Dragon Glass ($12.85) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.46% from 12 items with odds, observed 91.47% over 602 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:25Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Dragon Glass](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Dragon Glass A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=all) Price · $12.85 · 20.24 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.46% · EV $11.11 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.47% · 602 openings, odds method Variance · 26.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 28 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 58 openings · below min 7 days · 82.67% ±47.56 451 openings 30 days · 91.47% ±41.17 602 openings since tracking started · 91.47% ±41.17 602 openings -0.5% 111.5% 223.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=24h) | 58 | 90.22% ±132.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=7d) | 451 | 82.67% ±47.6 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167) | 602 | 91.47% ±41.2 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/167?window=all) | 602 | 91.47% ±41.2 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 602 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $5,555 8,749 HUNT\_COIN | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $306 481 HUNT\_COIN | 30.3% | 11 | 6.6 | 1.66× | | [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $102 160 HUNT\_COIN | 11.0% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.69× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $96.98 153 HUNT\_COIN | 11.3% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $87.30 137 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 4 | 8.4 | 0.48× | | [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $20.67 32.56 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 31 | 30.1 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $14.15 22.29 HUNT\_COIN | 6.4% | 29 | 30.1 | 0.96× | | [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $8.03 12.64 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 59 | 60.2 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) | 10.0% | $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 57 | 60.2 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 98 | 90.3 | 1.09× | | [Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.17 0.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 105 | 90.3 | 1.16× | | [Sticker \| Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) | 35.0% | $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN | 0.5% | 195 | 210.7 | 0.93× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=167) [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $8.03 12.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $14.15 22.29 HUNT\_COIN 1.10x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Sticker | Dragon sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon) [DiabloPhD](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DiabloPhD) $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-field-tested) [Sr.Calavera](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sr.Calavera) $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $20.67 32.56 HUNT\_COIN 1.61x 2026-11-11 10:44 UTC [StatTrak™ P2000 | Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $8.03 12.64 HUNT\_COIN 0.62x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-dragon-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $0.76 1.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC [Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $12.85 20.24 HUNT\_COIN $7.58 11.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.59x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $12.85 | 86.46% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% classified 17.5% restricted 1.2% Ancient 1.3% #d32ce6 5.0% exotic 10.0% violet 15.0% mil spec 15.0% Rare 35.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.46 on average: an expected loss of $13.54 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt