--- title: "Inferno case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Inferno ($739.64) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 169.67% over 12 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Inferno](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Inferno A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=all) Price · $739.64 · 1,165 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $639.79 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 169.67% · 12 openings, odds method Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 12 openings · below min since tracking started · 12 openings · below min 61.5% 169.7% 278.0% **Small sample.** 12 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=7d) | 12 | 169.67% ±107.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170) | 12 | 169.67% ±107.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/170?window=all) | 12 | 169.67% ±107.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · knifes](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $6,415 10,103 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 2 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN | 11.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo) | 1 in 57 | $4,305 6,781 HUNT\_COIN | 11.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $3,305 5,206 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 21.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN | 21.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — | | [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 80.0% | $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN 7.51x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN 7.51x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 2.67x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 2.67x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=170) [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 2.67x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN 7.51x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) [Calvin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Calvin) $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 02:16 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $1,972 3,106 HUNT\_COIN 2.67x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-factory-new) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $5,555 8,750 HUNT\_COIN 7.51x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) Hidden $740 1,165 HUNT\_COIN $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $740 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed knifes 1.0% legendary 1.3% contraband 1.5% other 1.8% covert 9.5% extraordinary 5.0% Restricted 80.0% best hit $5,555 (7.51x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt