---
title: "Imminent Danger case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Imminent Danger ($23.00) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 72.59% over 224 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Imminent Danger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Imminent Danger

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=all)

Price · $23.00 · 36.23 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $19.90 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.59% · 224 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 67.57% ±24.12 176 openings

30 days · 72.59% ±21.38 224 openings

since tracking started · 72.59% ±21.38 224 openings

6.0% 67.0% 128.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=24h) | 28 | 67.12% ±60.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=7d) | 176 | 67.57% ±24.1 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175) | 224 | 72.59% ±21.4 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/175?window=all) | 224 | 72.59% ±21.4 | −1.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 224 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $722 1,137 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $445 701 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $338 533 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Souvenir P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $142 224 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.12× |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 5.6% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [Sticker \| Flammable (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flammable-foil) | 1 in 67 | $82.72 130 HUNT\_COIN | 6.2% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $71.18 112 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.56× |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Toxic (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-toxic-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $53.87 84.85 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.71× |
| [P250 \| Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $43.46 68.45 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $35.49 55.9 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 8 | 14.6 | 0.55× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $29.03 45.73 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 12 | 16.8 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $25.97 40.91 HUNT\_COIN | 16.3% | 31 | 28.0 | 1.11× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 20.0% | $3.61 5.69 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 53 | 44.8 | 1.18× |
| [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 20.0% | $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 45 | 44.8 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 20.0% | $0.97 1.53 HUNT\_COIN | 1.0% | 46 | 44.8 | 1.03× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=175)

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $71.18 112 HUNT\_COIN 3.09x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $0.97 1.53 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $25.97 40.91 HUNT\_COIN 1.13x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $35.49 55.9 HUNT\_COIN 1.54x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Snack Attack (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-snack-attack-minimal-wear) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $25.97 40.91 HUNT\_COIN 1.13x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Negev | Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $2.43 3.82 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $3.61 5.69 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) Hidden $23.00 36.23 HUNT\_COIN $35.49 55.9 HUNT\_COIN 1.54x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $23.00 | 86.49% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 17.2% Restricted 0.3% restricted 26.0% exotic 1.5% mil spec 2.5% classified 12.5% industrial 20.0% milspec 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt