--- title: "USP Whisperer case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "USP Whisperer ($24.14) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 104.39% over 258 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [USP Whisperer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · USP Whisperer A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=all) Price · $24.14 · 38.02 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $20.88 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 104.39% · 258 openings, odds method Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 104.32% ±21.29 222 openings 30 days · 104.39% ±19.75 258 openings since tracking started · 104.39% ±19.75 258 openings -0.5% 66.0% 132.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=24h) | 16 | 52.63% ±79.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=7d) | 222 | 104.32% ±21.3 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176) | 258 | 104.39% ±19.7 | +1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/176?window=all) | 258 | 104.39% ±19.7 | +1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 258 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $180 283 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.55× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $161 254 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.33× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $137 216 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× | | [USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $125 197 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.55× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $106 167 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.33× | | [USP-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $90.29 142 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $70.83 112 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.21× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $62.27 98.08 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× | | [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN | 6.5% | 13 | 7.1 | 1.83× | | [USP-S \| Road Rash (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $35.63 56.11 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 6 | 9.0 | 0.66× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $27.71 43.65 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 9 | 11.6 | 0.78× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 15.0% | $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 38 | 38.7 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) | 20.0% | $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 46 | 51.6 | 0.89× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-well-worn) | 20.0% | $2.48 3.9 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 50 | 51.6 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.45 2.29 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 52 | 51.6 | 1.01× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=176) [StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $1.45 2.29 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN 2.03x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Lead Conduit (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-well-worn) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $2.48 3.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $1.45 2.29 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $2.50 3.94 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [USP-S | Royal Blue (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-factory-new) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $70.83 112 HUNT\_COIN 2.93x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $24.14 38.02 HUNT\_COIN $3.75 5.91 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-10 23:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $24.14 | 86.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.1% classified 5.5% #d32ee6 1.1% mil spec 1.5% restricted 25.5% industrial 6.8% Restricted 2.5% milspec 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt