--- title: "Ladies Man case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ladies Man ($0.84) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.34% from 16 items with odds, observed 88.13% over 2,261 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Ladies Man](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Ladies Man A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=all) Price · $0.84 · 1.33 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.34% · EV $0.73 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.13% · 2,261 openings, odds method Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 61 openings · below min 7 days · 88.50% ±9.53 1,884 openings 30 days · 88.13% ±8.70 2,261 openings since tracking started · 88.13% ±8.70 2,261 openings 64.0% 117.5% 171.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=24h) | 61 | 117.45% ±53.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=7d) | 1,884 | 88.50% ±9.53 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177) | 2,261 | 88.13% ±8.70 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/177?window=all) | 2,261 | 88.13% ±8.70 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,261 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $44.44 70 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $25.84 40.7 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.21× | | [Souvenir AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.06 20.57 HUNT\_COIN | 1.8% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× | | [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $8.71 13.72 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $8.33 13.12 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.80× | | [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $7.23 11.38 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 25 | 22.6 | 1.11× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 54 | 45.2 | 1.19× | | [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $3.56 5.61 HUNT\_COIN | 14.7% | 68 | 67.8 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ USP-S \| 27 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-27-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.85 4.49 HUNT\_COIN | 11.7% | 68 | 67.8 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-catacombs-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $2.18 3.44 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 105 | 113.1 | 0.93× | | [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Kami (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-kami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1.96 3.08 HUNT\_COIN | 13.4% | 94 | 113.1 | 0.83× | | [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN | 3.1% | 366 | 339.1 | 1.08× | | [P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 323 | 339.1 | 0.95× | | [Souvenir PP-Bizon \| Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 577 | 565.3 | 1.02× | | [Souvenir R8 Revolver \| Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 559 | 565.3 | 0.99× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=177) [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN 5.68x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [StatTrak™ USP-S | 27 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-27-factory-new) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $2.85 4.49 HUNT\_COIN 3.38x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [AWP | Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $3.56 5.61 HUNT\_COIN 4.22x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN 5.68x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-pp-bizon-anolis-field-tested) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC [Souvenir R8 Revolver | Night (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-r8-revolver-night-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.84 1.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.84 | 86.34% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 15.0% restricted 0.3% mil spec 15.6% Mil Spec Grade 5.1% industrial 1.0% red 2.0% violet 3.0% milspec 3.0% #4B69FF 5.0% other 50.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.34 on average: an expected loss of $13.66 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt