--- title: "SongaMonga case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "SongaMonga ($26.96) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 97.81% over 299 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [SongaMonga](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · SongaMonga A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=all) Price · $26.96 · 42.46 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $23.32 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.81% · 299 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 89.32% ±22.00 237 openings 30 days · 97.81% ±19.59 299 openings since tracking started · 97.81% ±19.59 299 openings -0.5% 107.0% 214.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=24h) | 10 | 106.78% ±107.1 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=7d) | 237 | 89.32% ±22.0 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180) | 299 | 97.81% ±19.6 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/180?window=all) | 299 | 97.81% ±19.6 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 299 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $232 366 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $179 282 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $155 245 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.34× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $133 210 HUNT\_COIN | 10.0% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× | | [Sticker \| Counter Logic Gaming (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-foil) | 1 in 40 | $111 175 HUNT\_COIN | 11.9% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.94× | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $92.64 146 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 20 | 15.0 | 1.34× | | [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $71.61 113 HUNT\_COIN | 21.5% | 29 | 20.9 | 1.39× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 10.0% | $3.46 5.45 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 26 | 29.9 | 0.87× | | [Sticker \| Poorly Drawn Chicken (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken-holo) | 15.0% | $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 46 | 44.9 | 1.03× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $2.36 3.72 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 48 | 44.9 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| Kimberly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly) | 20.0% | $1.86 2.93 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 53 | 59.8 | 0.89× | | [Sticker \| Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) | 20.0% | $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 54 | 59.8 | 0.90× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=180) [Sticker | Counter Logic Gaming (Foil) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-foil) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $111 175 HUNT\_COIN 4.12x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.36 3.72 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | Kimberly sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kimberly) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $1.86 2.93 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $92.64 146 HUNT\_COIN 3.44x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken-holo) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $71.61 113 HUNT\_COIN 2.66x 2026-11-11 02:10 UTC [Sticker | Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Sticker | Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Sticker | Poorly Drawn Chicken (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken-holo) Hidden $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $2.64 4.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC [Sticker | Max (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-max-holo) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $26.96 42.46 HUNT\_COIN $1.00 1.58 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:10 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $26.96 | 86.49% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert knife 8.0% pink 1.3% classified 1.5% mil spec 1.8% other 2.5% extraordinary 5.0% restricted 10.0% #8847ff 15.0% #d32ee6 15.0% Rare 20.0% remarkable 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt