--- title: "Sniper Nest case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sniper Nest ($192.41) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 54.43% over 56 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Sniper Nest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Sniper Nest A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=all) Price · $192.41 · 303 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $166.43 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 54.43% · 56 openings, odds method Variance · 16.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 48 openings · below min 30 days · 56 openings · below min since tracking started · 56 openings · below min -0.5% 89.0% 178.5% **Small sample.** 56 openings and 1.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=7d) | 48 | 62.41% ±115.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181) | 56 | 54.43% ±106.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/181?window=all) | 56 | 54.43% ±106.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 56 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $9,540 15,025 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 13.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $3,305 5,206 HUNT\_COIN | 19.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 25.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $1,960 3,087 HUNT\_COIN | 23.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× | | [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) | 30.0% | $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 14 | 16.8 | 0.83× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 30.0% | $13.18 20.76 HUNT\_COIN | 2.4% | 14 | 16.8 | 0.83× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) | 35.0% | $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 26 | 19.6 | 1.33× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | The Prince (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-factory-new) [Karl Ess](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Karl%20Ess) $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $3,305 5,206 HUNT\_COIN 17.18x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC [AWP | Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $1,960 3,087 HUNT\_COIN 10.19x 2026-11-07 19:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=181) [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $13.18 20.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) [Karl Ess](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Karl%20Ess) $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:41 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Parallax (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $6.24 9.83 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC [SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $13.18 20.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC [SSG 08 | Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) Hidden $192 303 HUNT\_COIN $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 19:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $192 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.0% consumer 30.0% classified 30.0% Restricted 35.0% best hit $3,305 (17.18x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt