---
title: "Tide Turner case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tide Turner ($632.46) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Tide Turner](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Tide Turner

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=all)

Price · $632.46 · 996 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $547.07 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 37.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/184?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN | 27.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 12.5% | $961 1,514 HUNT\_COIN | 22.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $926 1,458 HUNT\_COIN | 21.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) | 12.5% | $665 1,048 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $326 514 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $150 236 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 12.5% | $76.11 120 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $52.78 83.13 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=184)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $632 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 25.0% gold 12.5% #EB4B4B 12.5% covert 37.5% restricted 12.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt