--- title: "Scout Dreams case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Scout Dreams ($0.58) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 85.61% from 6 items with odds, observed 78.08% over 4,580 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:01Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Scout Dreams](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Scout Dreams A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=all) Price · $0.58 · 0.92 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 85.61% · EV $0.50 from 6 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.08% · 4,580 openings, odds method Variance · 11.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 33 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 90.24% ±51.44 171 openings 7 days · 80.30% ±10.64 3,999 openings 30 days · 78.08% ±9.94 4,580 openings since tracking started · 78.08% ±9.94 4,580 openings 38.0% 90.3% 142.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=24h) | 171 | 90.24% ±51.4 | +0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=7d) | 3,999 | 80.30% ±10.6 | −1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186) | 4,580 | 78.08% ±9.94 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/186?window=all) | 4,580 | 78.08% ±9.94 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 6 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,580 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $21.68 34.14 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 7 | 9.2 | 0.76× | | [SSG 08 \| Red Stone (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-red-stone-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $18.06 28.45 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 8 | 13.7 | 0.58× | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $10.43 16.42 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 43 | 45.8 | 0.94× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $6.85 10.79 HUNT\_COIN | 20.6% | 78 | 68.7 | 1.14× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-rapid-transit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $5.25 8.27 HUNT\_COIN | 21.0% | 75 | 91.6 | 0.82× | | [Sticker \| Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) | 95.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 18.1% | 4,369 | 4351.0 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=186) [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) [skiee](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/skiee) $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $6.85 10.79 HUNT\_COIN 11.73x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:31 UTC [Sticker | Fly High sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fly-high) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 11:31 UTC [SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) Hidden $0.58 0.92 HUNT\_COIN $10.43 16.42 HUNT\_COIN 17.85x 2026-11-11 11:31 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.58 | 85.61% | 6 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.2% consumer 0.3% restricted 1.5% #8847ff 2.0% #4b69ff 95.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 85.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $85.61 on average: an expected loss of $14.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt