---
title: "1% Brokie case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "1% Brokie ($0.96) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.33% from 8 items with odds, observed 81.97% over 1,005 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [1% Brokie](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 1% Brokie

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=all)

Price · $0.96 · 1.51 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.33% · EV $0.83 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.97% · 1,005 openings, odds method

Variance · 59.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 167 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 113 openings · below min

7 days · 695 openings · below min

30 days · 81.97% ±47.47 1,005 openings

since tracking started · 81.97% ±47.47 1,005 openings

-0.5% 76.3% 153.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=24h) | 113 | 10.60% ±141.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=7d) | 695 | 57.22% ±57.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189) | 1,005 | 81.97% ±47.5 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/189?window=all) | 1,005 | 81.97% ±47.5 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,005 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $109 172 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $89.58 141 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $82.36 130 HUNT\_COIN | 14.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $77.78 123 HUNT\_COIN | 14.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $72.92 115 HUNT\_COIN | 13.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN | 14.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN | 13.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 99.0% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 995 | 995.0 | 1.00× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $89.58 141 HUNT\_COIN 93.44x 2026-11-04 10:52 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $82.36 130 HUNT\_COIN 85.90x 2026-11-03 14:14 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $77.78 123 HUNT\_COIN 81.13x 2026-11-05 08:15 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Scorched (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-scorched-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $77.78 123 HUNT\_COIN 81.13x 2026-11-03 17:09 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) [Maltael](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Maltael) $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $72.92 115 HUNT\_COIN 76.06x 2026-11-03 11:55 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN 64.43x 2026-11-09 21:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-boreal-forest-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $61.77 97.29 HUNT\_COIN 64.43x 2026-11-09 21:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) [Klinklicious](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Klinklicious) $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 57.28x 2026-11-10 03:27 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 57.28x 2026-11-06 08:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-safari-mesh-factory-new) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $54.91 86.49 HUNT\_COIN 57.28x 2026-11-03 17:09 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=189)

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) [LEZAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/LEZAS) $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

[P90 | Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.96 1.51 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.11x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.96 | 86.33% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Classified 0.1% Immortal 0.1% covert knife 0.4% covert 0.5% #4b69ff 99.0% best hit $89.58 (93.44x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.33 on average: an expected loss of $13.67 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt