--- title: "13 0 Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "13 0 Dream ($359.19) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 13 items with odds, observed 353.81% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [13 0 Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 13 0 Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=all) Price · $359.19 · 566 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $310.70 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 353.81% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 5.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min 86.0% 315.3% 544.5% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=7d) | 6 | 353.81% ±190.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193) | 6 | 353.81% ±190.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/193?window=all) | 6 | 353.81% ±190.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $4,028 6,344 HUNT\_COIN | 13.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [MP9 \| Wild Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-wild-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3,611 5,687 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $3,082 4,854 HUNT\_COIN | 9.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $2,660 4,190 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $2,594 4,086 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $2,361 3,719 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 1 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $2,236 3,522 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $1,528 2,406 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1,509 2,377 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Lucky 13 (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-13-foil) | 27.0% | $9.03 14.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× | | [Sticker \| Lucky 13 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-13) | 60.0% | $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN | 0.1% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,660 4,190 HUNT\_COIN 7.41x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,594 4,086 HUNT\_COIN 7.22x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,361 3,719 HUNT\_COIN 6.57x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=193) [M4A1-S | Knight (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-minimal-wear) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,660 4,190 HUNT\_COIN 7.41x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [AWP | Desert Hydra (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,594 4,086 HUNT\_COIN 7.22x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $2,361 3,719 HUNT\_COIN 6.57x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Lucky 13 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-13) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Lucky 13 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-13) Hidden $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $0.32 0.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Lucky 13 (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-13-foil) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $359 566 HUNT\_COIN $9.03 14.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $359 | 86.50% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 5.5% classified 5.3% legendary 2.3% Exotic 27.0% pink 60.0% best hit $2,660 (7.41x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt