--- title: "20% Tactics case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "20% Tactics ($44.84) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 12 items with odds, observed 86.52% over 577 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [20% Tactics](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 20% Tactics A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=all) Price · $44.84 · 70.63 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $38.79 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.52% · 577 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 92.32% ±15.77 469 openings 30 days · 86.52% ±14.22 577 openings since tracking started · 86.52% ±14.22 577 openings -0.5% 76.0% 152.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=24h) | 10 | 43.78% ±108.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=7d) | 469 | 92.32% ±15.8 | +0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194) | 577 | 86.52% ±14.2 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/194?window=all) | 577 | 86.52% ±14.2 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 577 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $380 599 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.87× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $306 481 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.55× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $267 420 HUNT\_COIN | 10.3% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.58× | | [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $233 367 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $184 290 HUNT\_COIN | 11.9% | 17 | 14.4 | 1.18× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $156 245 HUNT\_COIN | 20.1% | 36 | 28.9 | 1.25× | | [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $114 179 HUNT\_COIN | 20.6% | 43 | 40.4 | 1.06× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 52 | 57.7 | 0.90× | | [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $4.48 7.05 HUNT\_COIN | 1.7% | 72 | 86.5 | 0.83× | | [P90 \| Scorched (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scorched-well-worn) | 15.0% | $4.01 6.32 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 85 | 86.5 | 0.98× | | [Souvenir P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $3.00 4.73 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 120 | 115.4 | 1.04× | | [P90 \| Vent Rush (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-vent-rush-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.54 2.43 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 126 | 115.4 | 1.09× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=194) [Souvenir P90 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $3.00 4.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-glacier-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $3.00 4.73 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [Souvenir P90 | Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $5.40 8.51 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 17:19 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $4.48 7.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [P90 | Scorched (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-scorched-well-worn) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $4.01 6.32 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $156 245 HUNT\_COIN 3.47x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC [P90 | Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $44.84 70.63 HUNT\_COIN $4.48 7.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-11 10:36 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $44.84 | 86.49% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 6.0% classified 16.3% covert 4.0% restricted 1.8% red 7.0% other 10.0% consumer 15.0% Rare 20.0% Mythical 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt