--- title: "AltF4 case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "AltF4 ($61.01) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 5 items with odds, observed 55.70% over 94 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [AltF4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · AltF4 A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=all) Price · $61.01 · 96.09 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $52.77 from 5 items Observed RTP, 30d · 55.70% · 94 openings, odds method Variance · 6.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 58 openings · below min 30 days · 94 openings · below min since tracking started · 94 openings · below min -0.5% 55.0% 110.5% **Small sample.** 94 openings and 3.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=7d) | 58 | 45.48% ±64.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195) | 94 | 55.70% ±50.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/195?window=all) | 94 | 55.70% ±50.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 5 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $678 1,067 HUNT\_COIN | 51.4% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $362 571 HUNT\_COIN | 27.5% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $255 402 HUNT\_COIN | 19.4% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.06× | | [Sticker \| Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) | 44.0% | $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 39 | 41.4 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) | 44.0% | $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN | 0.9% | 47 | 41.4 | 1.14× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Karl Ess](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Karl%20Ess) $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $678 1,067 HUNT\_COIN 11.11x 2026-11-07 18:56 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $678 1,067 HUNT\_COIN 11.11x 2026-11-03 13:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=195) [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-09 20:35 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 22:15 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 22:15 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.11 1.75 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 22:15 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $61.01 96.09 HUNT\_COIN $1.03 1.63 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-08 22:15 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $61.01 | 86.50% | 5 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 8.0% classified 4.0% Rare 44.0% #d32ce6 44.0% best hit $678 (11.11x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt