--- title: "CetaBuck case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "CetaBuck ($93.27) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 67.65% over 16 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [CetaBuck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · CetaBuck A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=all) Price · $93.27 · 147 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $80.68 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 67.65% · 16 openings, odds method Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 16 openings · below min 30 days · 16 openings · below min since tracking started · 16 openings · below min 17.5% 67.8% 118.0% **Small sample.** 16 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=7d) | 16 | 67.65% ±49.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197) | 16 | 67.65% ±49.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/197?window=all) | 16 | 67.65% ±49.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 16 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $285 448 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $250 394 HUNT\_COIN | 15.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $197 310 HUNT\_COIN | 18.3% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $153 241 HUNT\_COIN | 14.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $146 229 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $123 194 HUNT\_COIN | 15.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [Sticker \| Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) | 55.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 11 | 8.8 | 1.25× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=197) [★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $250 394 HUNT\_COIN 2.68x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $123 194 HUNT\_COIN 1.32x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) [Ricki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricki) $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $285 448 HUNT\_COIN 3.05x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC [★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $146 229 HUNT\_COIN 1.56x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC [Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $93.27 147 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $93.27 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 2.5% covert knife 12.5% covert 30.0% High Grade 55.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt