--- title: "Cheater Starter Pack case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Cheater Starter Pack ($0.50) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.30% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.20% over 4,536 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Cheater Starter Pack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Cheater Starter Pack A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=all) Price · $0.50 · 0.79 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.30% · EV $0.43 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.20% · 4,536 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 73.66% ±22.24 156 openings 7 days · 86.66% ±6.39 1,887 openings 30 days · 88.20% ±4.12 4,536 openings since tracking started · 88.20% ±4.12 4,536 openings 51.0% 73.8% 96.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=24h) | 156 | 73.66% ±22.2 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=7d) | 1,887 | 86.66% ±6.39 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198) | 4,536 | 88.20% ±4.12 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/198?window=all) | 4,536 | 88.20% ±4.12 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,536 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN | 22.1% | 238 | 226.8 | 1.05× | | [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.80 2.84 HUNT\_COIN | 20.8% | 246 | 226.8 | 1.08× | | [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1.77 2.78 HUNT\_COIN | 30.6% | 327 | 340.2 | 0.96× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $1.23 1.93 HUNT\_COIN | 21.2% | 350 | 340.2 | 1.03× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Azure Glyph (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-azure-glyph-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 669 | 680.4 | 0.98× | | [SSG 08 \| Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 666 | 680.4 | 0.98× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 883 | 907.2 | 0.97× | | [Souvenir SSG 08 \| Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 1,157 | 1134.0 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=198) [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-azure-glyph-well-worn) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) [Ricardo Milos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricardo%20Milos) $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-azure-glyph-well-worn) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.13 HUNT\_COIN 0.16x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [SSG 08 | Mainframe 001 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-mainframe-001-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.03 0.05 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $1.77 2.78 HUNT\_COIN 3.52x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) [Ricardo Milos](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricardo%20Milos) $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Prey (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-prey-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:57 UTC [Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ssg-08-jungle-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $0.50 0.79 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.50 | 86.30% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 15.0% restricted 5.0% #8847ff 5.0% Uncommon 7.5% uncommon 7.5% Industrial Grade 15.0% Consumer Grade 45.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.30 on average: an expected loss of $13.70 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt