--- title: "Green Problem case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Green Problem ($7.19) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 11 items with odds, observed 87.23% over 897 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Green Problem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Green Problem A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=all) Price · $7.19 · 11.33 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $6.22 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.23% · 897 openings, odds method Variance · 24.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 67 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 85.20% ±37.38 684 openings 30 days · 87.23% ±32.64 897 openings since tracking started · 87.23% ±32.64 897 openings -0.5% 111.0% 222.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=24h) | 20 | 3.31% ±218.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=7d) | 684 | 85.20% ±37.4 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200) | 897 | 87.23% ±32.6 | +0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/200?window=all) | 897 | 87.23% ±32.6 | +0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 897 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $608 958 HUNT\_COIN | 4.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $526 829 HUNT\_COIN | 8.5% | 3 | 0.9 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $453 713 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $305 481 HUNT\_COIN | 22.1% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.24× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $79.17 125 HUNT\_COIN | 9.5% | 4 | 6.7 | 0.59× | | [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $53.89 84.88 HUNT\_COIN | 10.8% | 6 | 11.2 | 0.54× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $43.86 69.08 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 15 | 13.5 | 1.11× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $21.80 34.34 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 17 | 22.4 | 0.76× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $19.51 30.73 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 33 | 29.2 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 264 | 269.1 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) | 60.0% | $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN | 2.1% | 550 | 538.2 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 73.17x 2026-11-09 02:09 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [Fredi.03](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Fredi.03) $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 73.17x 2026-11-08 21:25 UTC [Tec-9 | Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-factory-new) [Apumatic](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Apumatic) $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 73.17x 2026-11-06 02:34 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=200) [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) [Marius Tutunaru](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Marius%20Tutunaru) $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 11:15 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC [Sticker | Green's Problem sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-greens-problem) Hidden $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.35 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-battle-scarred) [Leva\_alt2](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Leva_alt2) $7.19 11.33 HUNT\_COIN $0.33 0.52 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $7.19 | 86.48% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.1% restricted 33.5% covert 0.5% mil spec 2.8% classified 3.3% Rare 60.0% best hit $526 (73.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt