--- title: "High Ping case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "High Ping ($16.69) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 8 items with odds, observed 76.24% over 217 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201 rendered: 2026-11-12T00:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [High Ping](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · High Ping A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=all) Price · $16.69 · 26.28 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $14.43 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 76.24% · 217 openings, odds method Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 74.90% ±11.50 134 openings 30 days · 76.24% ±9.04 217 openings since tracking started · 76.24% ±9.04 217 openings 15.5% 54.8% 94.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 86.48% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (67.21% – 85.28%, 217 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=24h) | 12 | 54.77% ±38.4 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=7d) | 134 | 74.90% ±11.5 | −2.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201) | 217 | 76.24% ±9.04 | −2.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/201?window=all) | 217 | 76.24% ±9.04 | −2.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 217 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $30.83 48.56 HUNT\_COIN | 26.7% | 21 | 27.1 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 12.5% | $30.57 48.14 HUNT\_COIN | 26.5% | 23 | 27.1 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $19.35 30.47 HUNT\_COIN | 16.8% | 21 | 27.1 | 0.77× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 12.5% | $18.41 28.99 HUNT\_COIN | 15.9% | 28 | 27.1 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 12.5% | $6.92 10.9 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 29 | 27.1 | 1.07× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 12.5% | $6.62 10.42 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 30 | 27.1 | 1.11× | | [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 12.5% | $1.39 2.19 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 24 | 27.1 | 0.88× | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) | 12.5% | $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 41 | 27.1 | 1.51× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=201) [Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $30.83 48.56 HUNT\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $30.83 48.56 HUNT\_COIN 1.85x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $6.92 10.9 HUNT\_COIN 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-mud-spec-field-tested) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $1.37 2.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $19.35 30.47 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) Hidden $16.69 26.28 HUNT\_COIN $6.62 10.42 HUNT\_COIN 0.40x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $16.69 | 86.48% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 12.5% classified 25.0% restricted 25.0% covert 12.5% #8847ff 12.5% Uncommon 12.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt