---
title: "Knife Flip case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Knife Flip ($126.81) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 61.60% over 19 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Knife Flip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Knife Flip

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=all)

Price · $126.81 · 200 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $109.68 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 61.60% · 19 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 57.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 15 openings · below min

30 days · 19 openings · below min

since tracking started · 19 openings · below min

-0.5% 53.5% 107.5%

**Small sample.** 19 openings and 4.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=7d) | 15 | 47.65% ±50.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202) | 19 | 61.60% ±45.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/202?window=all) | 19 | 61.60% ±45.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $750 1,181 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $625 984 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $525 827 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $451 711 HUNT\_COIN | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $449 707 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $332 523 HUNT\_COIN | 7.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $303 478 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $247 389 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $243 383 HUNT\_COIN | 8.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $229 361 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $192 303 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $178 280 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $165 260 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $161 254 HUNT\_COIN | 8.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Scorched (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-scorched-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $123 193 HUNT\_COIN | 7.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.50× |
| [Sticker \| Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) | 50.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=202)

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $165 260 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:07 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $178 280 HUNT\_COIN 1.40x 2026-11-07 03:06 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $165 260 HUNT\_COIN 1.30x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $229 361 HUNT\_COIN 1.81x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) [fine shi](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/fine%20shi) $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $161 254 HUNT\_COIN 1.27x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC

[Sticker | Knife Club sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-knife-club) Hidden $127 200 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-07 03:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $127 | 86.50% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 23.1% covert 19.4% Covert 3.5% #ffd700 4.0% High Grade 50.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt