--- title: "Last Second Savior case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Last Second Savior ($25.93) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 8 items with odds, observed 88.36% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Last Second Savior](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Last Second Savior A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=all) Price · $25.93 · 40.84 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $22.42 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.36% · 156 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 94 openings · below min 30 days · 88.36% ±17.99 156 openings since tracking started · 88.36% ±17.99 156 openings 0.5% 57.2% 114.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=24h) | 16 | 57.30% ±56.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=7d) | 94 | 83.54% ±23.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203) | 156 | 88.36% ±18.0 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/203?window=all) | 156 | 88.36% ±18.0 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 156 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $85.97 135 HUNT\_COIN | 19.2% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.54× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $70.55 111 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $68.05 107 HUNT\_COIN | 15.2% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $60.34 95.04 HUNT\_COIN | 13.5% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $54.65 86.08 HUNT\_COIN | 12.2% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $47.71 75.15 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 11 | 7.8 | 1.41× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $30.15 47.48 HUNT\_COIN | 13.4% | 14 | 15.6 | 0.90× | | [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) | 60.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 94 | 93.6 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=203) [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $60.34 95.04 HUNT\_COIN 2.33x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $30.15 47.48 HUNT\_COIN 1.16x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) [Hulk](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hulk) $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:45 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Boreal Forest (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $25.93 40.84 HUNT\_COIN $85.97 135 HUNT\_COIN 3.32x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.93 | 86.48% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.0% covert 20.0% pink 10.0% Industrial Grade 60.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt