--- title: "Legends Never Die case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Legends Never Die ($354.91) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 85.97% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Legends Never Die](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Legends Never Die A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=all) Price · $354.91 · 559 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $307.00 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.97% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 6.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 44 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 13.0% 90.8% 168.5% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 1.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=7d) | 44 | 92.24% ±75.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204) | 48 | 85.97% ±72.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/204?window=all) | 48 | 85.97% ±72.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $5,693 8,966 HUNT\_COIN | 4.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $5,401 8,507 HUNT\_COIN | 15.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN | 19.2% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN | 13.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN | 13.8% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.27× | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1,219 1,921 HUNT\_COIN | 12.9% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 90.0% | $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN | 17.7% | 43 | 43.2 | 1.00× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN 13.30x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN 7.63x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 4.34x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 4.34x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 4.34x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=204) [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 4.34x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $2,708 4,266 HUNT\_COIN 7.63x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [Glock-18 | Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $1,542 2,428 HUNT\_COIN 4.34x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) [Gremlin](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Gremlin) $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) Hidden $355 559 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 0.17x 2026-11-07 18:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $355 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.8% contraband 1.3% restricted 2.8% classified 93.3% best hit $4,721 (13.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt