--- title: "Beast case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Beast ($73.04) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 16 items with odds, observed 127.46% over 223 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Beast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Beast A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=all) Price · $73.04 · 115 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $63.18 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 127.46% · 223 openings, odds method Variance · 19.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 87.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 134.24% ±60.39 201 openings 30 days · 127.46% ±57.34 223 openings since tracking started · 127.46% ±57.34 223 openings 69.5% 132.5% 195.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=7d) | 201 | 134.24% ±60.4 | +1.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214) | 223 | 127.46% ±57.3 | +1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/214?window=all) | 223 | 127.46% ±57.3 | +1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $7,292 11,484 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN | 11.2% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [Sticker \| Howling Dawn sticker · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-howling-dawn) | 1 in 500 | $1,040 1,638 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [Souvenir M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-master-piece-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $917 1,444 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.79× | | [Souvenir Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $500 787 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $428 674 HUNT\_COIN | 16.9% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.43× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $396 623 HUNT\_COIN | 17.5% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $76.39 120 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 8 | 11.2 | 0.72× | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $50.69 79.84 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 19 | 11.2 | 1.70× | | [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $33.82 53.27 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 18 | 16.7 | 1.08× | | [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 27 | 16.7 | 1.61× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $12.91 20.34 HUNT\_COIN | 2.6% | 17 | 27.9 | 0.61× | | [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $4.58 7.22 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 31 | 33.4 | 0.93× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 20.0% | $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 49 | 44.6 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) | 20.0% | $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 35 | 44.6 | 0.78× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN 64.63x 2026-11-09 10:14 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $4,721 7,435 HUNT\_COIN 64.63x 2026-11-07 12:41 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN 10.46x 2026-11-09 10:22 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN 10.46x 2026-11-07 10:43 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=214) [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-09 10:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 10:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 10:29 UTC [Sticker | Baby Howl sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-baby-howl) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $0.81 1.28 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-09 10:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 10:25 UTC [SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $24.29 38.26 HUNT\_COIN 0.33x 2026-11-09 10:25 UTC [USP-S | Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $50.69 79.84 HUNT\_COIN 0.69x 2026-11-09 10:25 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-09 10:25 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $764 1,203 HUNT\_COIN 10.46x 2026-11-09 10:22 UTC [Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-factory-new) Hidden $73.04 115 HUNT\_COIN $33.82 53.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.46x 2026-11-09 10:22 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $73.04 | 86.50% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 45.4% contraband 0.4% classified 12.8% epic 0.5% restricted 1.0% extraordinary 2.5% Classified 5.0% #d32ce6 12.5% high 20.0% best hit $4,721 (64.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt