---
title: "No Kit No Problem case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "No Kit No Problem ($30.58) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 90.38% over 130 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [No Kit No Problem](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · No Kit No Problem

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=all)

Price · $30.58 · 48.17 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $26.45 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.38% · 130 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 62 openings · below min

30 days · 90.38% ±11.74 130 openings

since tracking started · 90.38% ±11.74 130 openings

62.0% 101.5% 141.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=24h) | 12 | 101.49% ±38.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=7d) | 62 | 89.27% ±17.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215) | 130 | 90.38% ±11.7 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/215?window=all) | 130 | 90.38% ±11.7 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 130 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 12.5% | $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN | 28.5% | 14 | 16.3 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN | 23.2% | 20 | 16.3 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 12.5% | $41.61 65.53 HUNT\_COIN | 19.7% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN | 15.6% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $11.04 17.39 HUNT\_COIN | 5.2% | 18 | 16.3 | 1.11× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) | 12.5% | $7.75 12.21 HUNT\_COIN | 3.7% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 12.5% | $5.77 9.09 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $3.09 4.86 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 11 | 16.3 | 0.68× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=215)

[USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN 1.60x 2026-11-10 14:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.08x 2026-11-10 14:53 UTC

[USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN 1.60x 2026-11-10 14:53 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $11.04 17.39 HUNT\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-10 14:53 UTC

[USP-S | Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-whiteout-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $49.03 77.23 HUNT\_COIN 1.60x 2026-11-10 14:52 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-factory-new) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $7.75 12.21 HUNT\_COIN 0.25x 2026-11-10 14:52 UTC

[USP-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $5.77 9.09 HUNT\_COIN 0.19x 2026-11-10 14:52 UTC

[USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $60.29 94.95 HUNT\_COIN 1.97x 2026-11-10 14:52 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $33.06 52.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.08x 2026-11-10 14:50 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) Hidden $30.58 48.17 HUNT\_COIN $11.04 17.39 HUNT\_COIN 0.36x 2026-11-10 14:50 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $30.58 | 86.50% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 37.5% Ancient 12.5% mil spec 25.0% #4b69ff 12.5% Rare 12.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
