--- title: "Oasis case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Oasis ($76.51) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 71.45% over 52 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Oasis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Oasis A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=all) Price · $76.51 · 121 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $66.18 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.45% · 52 openings, odds method Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 46 openings · below min 30 days · 52 openings · below min since tracking started · 52 openings · below min 8.5% 66.8% 125.0% **Small sample.** 52 openings and 4.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=7d) | 46 | 64.97% ±56.0 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216) | 52 | 71.45% ±52.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/216?window=all) | 52 | 71.45% ±52.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 52 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $526 829 HUNT\_COIN | 31.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× | | [Souvenir Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $424 667 HUNT\_COIN | 25.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $339 534 HUNT\_COIN | 35.8% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.27× | | [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $21.46 33.8 HUNT\_COIN | 4.9% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN | 1.1% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 15.0% | $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.77× | | [G3SG1 \| Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 21 | 13.0 | 1.62× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 12 Nov, 02:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 6.88x 2026-11-06 12:47 UTC [M4A4 | Eye of Horus (Factory New) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-factory-new) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $526 829 HUNT\_COIN 6.88x 2026-11-04 10:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=216) [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $4.79 7.55 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) [Ricki](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Ricki) $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 22:09 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [USP-S | Desert Tactical (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [G3SG1 | Desert Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-desert-storm-battle-scarred) Hidden $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) [Karl Ess](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Karl%20Ess) $76.51 121 HUNT\_COIN $3.33 5.25 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-07 19:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $76.51 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 4.0% classified 4.0% rare 7.0% industrial 15.0% red 15.0% covert 15.0% blueLight 15.0% Consumer Grade 25.0% best hit $526 (6.88x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt