--- title: "OG Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "OG Dream ($253.83) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 58.40% over 26 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [OG Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · OG Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=all) Price · $253.83 · 400 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $219.56 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 58.40% · 26 openings, odds method Variance · 7.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 12 openings · below min 30 days · 26 openings · below min since tracking started · 26 openings · below min -0.5% 89.0% 178.5% **Small sample.** 26 openings and 2.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=7d) | 12 | 28.50% ±149.2 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217) | 26 | 58.40% ±101.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/217?window=all) | 26 | 58.40% ±101.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $10.1K 15,944 HUNT\_COIN | 11.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Medusa (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $2,778 4,375 HUNT\_COIN | 15.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $1,250 1,969 HUNT\_COIN | 17.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN | 23.7% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.92× | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $736 1,159 HUNT\_COIN | 31.8% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 20.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 9 | 5.2 | 1.73× | | [Sticker \| OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 9 | 5.2 | 1.73× | | [Sticker \| OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) | 40.0% | $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.25× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $1,250 1,969 HUNT\_COIN 4.92x 2026-11-04 06:07 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN 3.42x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN 3.42x 2026-11-04 06:03 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN 3.42x 2026-11-04 06:03 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=217) [M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $868 1,367 HUNT\_COIN 3.42x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) [dwiauhdas](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/dwiauhdas) $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-09 20:27 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:23 UTC [Sticker | OG (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og-glitter) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:23 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:23 UTC [Sticker | OG sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-og) Hidden $254 400 HUNT\_COIN $0.01 0.02 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-07 22:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $254 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.3% covert 1.3% classified 9.0% restricted 9.5% other 80.0% best hit $1,250 (4.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt