--- title: "One Deag Dream case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "One Deag Dream ($3.66) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.45% from 8 items with odds, observed 27.31% over 407 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [One Deag Dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · One Deag Dream A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=all) Price · $3.66 · 5.77 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.45% · EV $3.17 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 27.31% · 407 openings, odds method Variance · 105.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 400 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 99.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 350 openings · below min 30 days · 407 openings · below min since tracking started · 407 openings · below min -0.5% 171.8% 344.0% **Small sample.** 407 openings and 1.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=24h) | 35 | 4.04% ±339.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=7d) | 350 | 31.07% ±107.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218) | 407 | 27.31% ±99.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/218?window=all) | 407 | 27.31% ±99.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 407 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $693 1,091 HUNT\_COIN | 54.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $171 270 HUNT\_COIN | 40.6% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.66× | | [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN | 1.3% | 44 | 36.6 | 1.20× | | [Desert Eagle \| Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 40 | 40.7 | 0.98× | | [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 49 | 40.7 | 1.20× | | [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 15.0% | $0.17 0.27 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 54 | 61.0 | 0.88× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.6% | 92 | 101.8 | 0.90× | | [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-well-worn) | 30.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.7% | 126 | 122.1 | 1.03× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=218) [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Corinthian (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-corinthian-field-tested) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) [POSK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/POSK) $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.17 0.27 HUNT\_COIN 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.22 0.34 HUNT\_COIN 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mudder (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mudder-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN 0.02x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC [Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.66 5.77 HUNT\_COIN $0.44 0.7 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-11 12:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.66 | 86.45% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed rare 0.3% covert 0.8% restricted 9.0% blue 10.0% Mil Spec Grade 10.0% #4b69ff 45.0% industrial 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.45 on average: an expected loss of $13.55 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt