--- title: "Overtime case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Overtime ($497.78) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.50% from 8 items with odds, observed 120.13% over 6 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Overtime](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Overtime A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=all) Price · $497.78 · 784 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.50% · EV $430.58 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 120.13% · 6 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 6 openings · below min since tracking started · 6 openings · below min -0.5% 129.8% 260.0% **Small sample.** 6 openings and 0.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=7d) | 6 | 120.13% ±139.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219) | 6 | 120.13% ±139.4 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/219?window=all) | 6 | 120.13% ±139.4 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 12.0% | $2,623 4,131 HUNT\_COIN | 73.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 12.0% | $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN | 26.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Easy Peasy sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-peasy) | 12.0% | $0.48 0.76 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Ancient Marauder sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-marauder) | 12.0% | $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) | 12.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [Sticker \| Noodles sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noodles) | 12.5% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Huaji sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-huaji) | 12.5% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Sticker \| Perfect World (Glitter) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-perfect-world-glitter) | 15.0% | $0.08 0.12 HUNT\_COIN | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $2,623 4,131 HUNT\_COIN 5.27x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=219) [Sticker | Easy Peasy sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-peasy) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $0.48 0.76 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $2,623 4,131 HUNT\_COIN 5.27x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $964 1,518 HUNT\_COIN 1.94x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Clown Wig sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-clown-wig) Hidden $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC [Sticker | Huaji sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-huaji) [DameTime](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/DameTime) $498 784 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-05 01:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $498 | 86.50% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Covert 12.0% covert 12.0% #4b69ff 24.0% High Grade 12.0% Rare 12.5% high 12.5% other 15.0% best hit $2,623 (5.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.50 on average: an expected loss of $13.50 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt