---
title: "25% MAX WIN case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "25% MAX WIN ($20.30) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.67% from 14 items with odds, observed 28.53% over 8 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [25% MAX WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · 25% MAX WIN

A case on Hunt.gg (Community), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=all)

Price · $20.30 · 31.98 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 88.67% · EV $18.00 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 28.53% · 8 openings, odds method

Variance · 65.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 8 openings · below min

30 days · 8 openings · below min

since tracking started · 8 openings · below min

-0.5% 293.8% 588.0%

**Small sample.** 8 openings and 0.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=7d) | 8 | 28.53% ±558.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22) | 8 | 28.53% ±558.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/22?window=all) | 8 | 28.53% ±558.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 100,000 | $48.6K 76,561 HUNT\_COIN | 2.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $4,035 6,354 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $443 698 HUNT\_COIN | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $368 580 HUNT\_COIN | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $351 553 HUNT\_COIN | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $260 410 HUNT\_COIN | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 257 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $160 251 HUNT\_COIN | 17.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $71.94 113 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $56.67 89.26 HUNT\_COIN | 15.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $38.33 60.37 HUNT\_COIN | 16.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $33.26 52.39 HUNT\_COIN | 13.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) | 40.0% | $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN | 4.2% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.56× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) | 35.0% | $1.77 2.78 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=22)

[Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.77 2.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $33.26 52.39 HUNT\_COIN 1.64x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-polished-malachite-factory-new) [son](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/son) $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.77 2.78 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) Hidden $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-factory-new) [son](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/son) $20.30 31.98 HUNT\_COIN $1.91 3.01 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-07 04:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $20.30 | 88.67% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% epic 0.0% covert 12.1% classified 0.2% covert knife 0.2% red 5.0% Classified 7.5% restricted 40.0% Uncommon 35.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.67 on average: an expected loss of $11.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt