---
title: "P90 Warrior case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "P90 Warrior ($3.52) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.42% from 16 items with odds, observed 125.63% over 223 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:43Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [P90 Warrior](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220)

# [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · P90 Warrior

A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=all)

Price · $3.52 · 5.54 HUNT\_COIN

Advertised RTP · 86.42% · EV $3.04 from 16 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 125.63% · 223 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 12 openings · below min

7 days · 135.78% ±44.41 199 openings

30 days · 125.63% ±41.95 223 openings

since tracking started · 125.63% ±41.95 223 openings

-0.5% 123.3% 247.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=24h) | 12 | 65.43% ±180.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=7d) | 199 | 135.78% ±44.4 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220) | 223 | 125.63% ±42.0 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/220?window=all) | 223 | 125.63% ±42.0 | +1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 223 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $411 647 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Souvenir P90 \| Run and Hide (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-run-and-hide-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $88.90 140 HUNT\_COIN | 4.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $54.44 85.75 HUNT\_COIN | 3.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $38.15 60.09 HUNT\_COIN | 7.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.49× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $32.01 50.41 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [P90 \| Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $13.66 21.52 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $10.51 16.56 HUNT\_COIN | 8.6% | 1 | 5.6 | 0.18× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $7.99 12.59 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 9 | 7.8 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Wave Breaker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN | 10.1% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $5.54 8.73 HUNT\_COIN | 13.7% | 18 | 16.7 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Reef Grief (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-reef-grief-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $4.69 7.38 HUNT\_COIN | 11.6% | 17 | 16.7 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $0.43 0.68 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 17 | 22.3 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Traction (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN | 1.5% | 44 | 33.4 | 1.32× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN | 1.2% | 32 | 33.4 | 0.96× |
| [Souvenir P90 \| Scorched (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scorched-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN | 0.8% | 40 | 33.4 | 1.20× |
| [P90 \| Straight Dimes (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-straight-dimes-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $0.04 0.07 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 22 | 33.4 | 0.66× |

Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[P90 | Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $411 647 HUNT\_COIN 116.7x 2026-11-04 17:18 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=220)

[P90 | Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Wave Breaker (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-wave-breaker-factory-new) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $6.11 9.63 HUNT\_COIN 1.74x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.43 0.68 HUNT\_COIN 0.12x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[Souvenir P90 | Scorched (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Traction (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-traction-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.31 0.49 HUNT\_COIN 0.09x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) [HeroOfAll](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/HeroOfAll) $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 23:08 UTC

[P90 | Blind Spot (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blind-spot-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $13.66 21.52 HUNT\_COIN 3.88x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC

[P90 | Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.23 0.37 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC

[P90 | Attack Vector (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $5.54 8.73 HUNT\_COIN 1.58x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC

[Souvenir P90 | Scorched (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p90-scorched-field-tested) Hidden $3.52 5.54 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.24 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 17:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.52 | 86.42% | 16 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 3.6% classified 2.9% covert 1.6% violet 7.0% uncommon 15.0% mil spec 10.0% milspec 15.0% Rare 15.0% Common 15.0% #5e98d9 15.0% best hit $411 (116.7x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.42 on average: an expected loss of $13.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt