--- title: "Pandora Box case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Pandora Box ($25.45) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.48% from 16 items with odds, observed 83.19% over 1,584 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Pandora Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Pandora Box A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=all) Price · $25.45 · 40.08 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.48% · EV $22.01 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.19% · 1,584 openings, odds method Variance · 21.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.05% ±50.94 322 openings 7 days · 87.45% ±24.80 1,358 openings 30 days · 83.19% ±22.97 1,584 openings since tracking started · 83.19% ±22.97 1,584 openings 46.5% 98.0% 149.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=24h) | 322 | 98.05% ±50.9 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=7d) | 1,358 | 87.45% ±24.8 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222) | 1,584 | 83.19% ±23.0 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/222?window=all) | 1,584 | 83.19% ±23.0 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,584 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $3,653 5,753 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN | 9.3% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.10× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN | 10.9% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.01× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $367 577 HUNT\_COIN | 5.8% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.72× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $309 486 HUNT\_COIN | 7.0% | 5 | 7.9 | 0.63× | | [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-well-worn) | 1 in 182 | $278 437 HUNT\_COIN | 6.9% | 4 | 8.7 | 0.46× | | [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 154 | $222 350 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 14 | 10.3 | 1.36× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $183 287 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.10× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $148 233 HUNT\_COIN | 6.7% | 19 | 15.8 | 1.20× | | [Sticker \| London Conspiracy (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo) | 1 in 83 | $121 191 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 18 | 19.0 | 0.95× | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $114 180 HUNT\_COIN | 10.4% | 27 | 31.7 | 0.85× | | [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Ultraviolet (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-ultraviolet-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $92.64 146 HUNT\_COIN | 10.5% | 38 | 39.6 | 0.96× | | [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 317 | 316.8 | 1.00× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) | 20.0% | $2.05 3.23 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 318 | 316.8 | 1.00× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN | 0.4% | 393 | 396.0 | 0.99× | | [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 25.0% | $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN | 0.2% | 404 | 396.0 | 1.02× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 20:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN 53.49x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN 53.49x 2026-11-10 16:17 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN 53.49x 2026-11-10 15:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN 53.49x 2026-11-09 10:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-freehand-factory-new) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $1,361 2,144 HUNT\_COIN 53.49x 2026-11-07 20:30 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 37.59x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 37.59x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 37.59x 2026-11-09 12:38 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 37.59x 2026-11-07 10:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=222) [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC [Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $2.10 3.31 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $2.05 3.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Freehand (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $183 287 HUNT\_COIN 7.17x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.15 0.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $0.36 0.57 HUNT\_COIN 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:31 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Purple DDPAT (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-purple-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $2.05 3.23 HUNT\_COIN 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.45 40.08 HUNT\_COIN $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN 37.59x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $25.45 | 86.48% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.4% covert knife 2.5% covert 2.9% classified 0.6% other 1.2% mil spec 2.5% pink 20.0% Mil Spec Grade 20.0% #8847ff 25.0% blue 25.0% best hit $1,361 (53.49x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.48 on average: an expected loss of $13.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt