--- title: "Pixel Peek case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Pixel Peek ($3.18) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.37% from 15 items with odds, observed 87.08% over 517 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224 rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Pixel Peek](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Pixel Peek A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=all) Price · $3.18 · 5.01 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.37% · EV $2.75 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.08% · 517 openings, odds method Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 98.21% ±22.40 409 openings 30 days · 87.08% ±19.93 517 openings since tracking started · 87.08% ±19.93 517 openings 66.5% 94.0% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=7d) | 409 | 98.21% ±22.4 | +1.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224) | 517 | 87.08% ±19.9 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/224?window=all) | 517 | 87.08% ±19.9 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 517 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $110 173 HUNT\_COIN | 4.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $62.22 98 HUNT\_COIN | 5.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.55× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $32.88 51.78 HUNT\_COIN | 9.0% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $26.79 42.2 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.39× | | [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $22.22 35 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 9 | 6.2 | 1.45× | | [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $12.08 19.03 HUNT\_COIN | 9.7% | 16 | 11.4 | 1.41× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $8.70 13.71 HUNT\_COIN | 7.9% | 11 | 12.9 | 0.85× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $8.06 12.7 HUNT\_COIN | 8.1% | 19 | 14.2 | 1.34× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $6.74 10.62 HUNT\_COIN | 7.4% | 25 | 15.5 | 1.61× | | [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $5.56 8.76 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 10 | 16.8 | 0.60× | | [MAG-7 \| Memento (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $4.66 7.34 HUNT\_COIN | 5.9% | 17 | 18.1 | 0.94× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Core Breach (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-core-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $4.17 6.57 HUNT\_COIN | 6.1% | 24 | 20.7 | 1.16× | | [Sticker \| Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) | 37.5% | $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 187 | 193.9 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) | 37.5% | $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN | 1.4% | 189 | 193.9 | 0.97× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=224) [Sticker | Separate Pixels sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-separate-pixels) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.12 0.19 HUNT\_COIN 0.04x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $39.86 62.78 HUNT\_COIN 12.53x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Hobbi3ten](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Hobbi3ten) $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $8.06 12.7 HUNT\_COIN 2.53x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) [Nakkeost](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Nakkeost) $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:15 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:13 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:13 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:13 UTC [Sticker | Pixel Avenger sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pixel-avenger) Hidden $3.18 5.01 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.16 HUNT\_COIN 0.03x 2026-11-10 10:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $3.18 | 86.37% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.8% Covert 0.3% classified 0.8% Mythical 2.2% industrial 2.5% Restricted 2.8% restricted 3.0% other 7.3% Rare 41.0% high 37.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.37 on average: an expected loss of $13.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt