--- title: "Protector case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Protector ($29.02) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 13 items with odds, observed 71.58% over 181 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:06Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Protector](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Protector A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=all) Price · $29.02 · 45.7 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $25.10 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 71.58% · 181 openings, odds method Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 66.08% ±33.99 108 openings 30 days · 71.58% ±26.26 181 openings since tracking started · 71.58% ±26.26 181 openings 31.5% 142.3% 253.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=24h) | 12 | 150.55% ±102.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=7d) | 108 | 66.08% ±34.0 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225) | 181 | 71.58% ±26.3 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/225?window=all) | 181 | 71.58% ±26.3 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 181 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $242 381 HUNT\_COIN | 9.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× | | [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $193 304 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Guardian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-guardian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $182 286 HUNT\_COIN | 8.0% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× | | [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $179 282 HUNT\_COIN | 8.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× | | [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $164 258 HUNT\_COIN | 9.8% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $146 230 HUNT\_COIN | 10.2% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.89× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $115 181 HUNT\_COIN | 9.2% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $96.86 153 HUNT\_COIN | 8.7% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $83.05 131 HUNT\_COIN | 8.3% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $66.67 105 HUNT\_COIN | 7.3% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-nightmare-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $47.23 74.38 HUNT\_COIN | 6.6% | 2 | 6.3 | 0.32× | | [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $34.97 55.07 HUNT\_COIN | 6.3% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.23× | | [Sticker \| Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) | 75.0% | $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN | 0.3% | 145 | 135.8 | 1.07× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 14:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=225) [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | In Living Color (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $83.05 131 HUNT\_COIN 2.86x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) [Sparven](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/Sparven) $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $242 381 HUNT\_COIN 8.33x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [Sticker | Ancient Protector sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-protector) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $0.10 0.15 HUNT\_COIN 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) Hidden $29.02 45.7 HUNT\_COIN $34.97 55.07 HUNT\_COIN 1.21x 2026-11-10 23:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $29.02 | 86.49% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.8% red 1.0% classified 7.3% pink 1.1% epic 1.5% Classified 5.5% mil spec 2.3% Covert 2.5% High Grade 75.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt