--- title: "Rampage case on Hunt.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Rampage ($50.18) on Hunt.gg, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 86.49% from 16 items with odds, observed 62.01% over 150 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:02Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) / [Rampage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226) # [Hunt.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hunt) · Rampage A case on Hunt.gg (Official), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hunt.gg's own item price converted from hunt coin at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=all) Price · $50.18 · 79.03 HUNT\_COIN Advertised RTP · 86.49% · EV $43.40 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 62.01% · 150 openings, odds method Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 62.85% ±28.72 128 openings 30 days · 62.01% ±26.53 150 openings since tracking started · 62.01% ±26.53 150 openings 33.5% 62.8% 92.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=7d) | 128 | 62.85% ±28.7 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226) | 150 | 62.01% ±26.5 | −1.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hunt/226?window=all) | 150 | 62.01% ±26.5 | −1.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 150 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,625 2,559 HUNT\_COIN | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $957 1,507 HUNT\_COIN | 3.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $649 1,021 HUNT\_COIN | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $408 643 HUNT\_COIN | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn-2) | 1 in 125 | $370 583 HUNT\_COIN | 6.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $260 410 HUNT\_COIN | 6.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower) | 1 in 67 | $208 328 HUNT\_COIN | 7.2% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $167 262 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 3 | 3.0 | 1.00× | | [Souvenir M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $133 210 HUNT\_COIN | 7.7% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $81.25 128 HUNT\_COIN | 9.4% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.07× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $70.97 112 HUNT\_COIN | 10.6% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo) | 1 in 13 | $69.44 109 HUNT\_COIN | 12.0% | 5 | 11.3 | 0.44× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 12.5% | $49.93 78.64 HUNT\_COIN | 14.4% | 29 | 18.8 | 1.55× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 20.0% | $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN | 3.4% | 30 | 30.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) | 20.0% | $4.86 7.66 HUNT\_COIN | 2.2% | 34 | 30.0 | 1.13× | | [Sticker \| Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN | 1.6% | 28 | 30.0 | 0.93× | Values are Hunt.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hunt:api/cases`, 11 Nov, 08:06 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hunt&case=226) [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $4.86 7.66 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $81.25 128 HUNT\_COIN 1.62x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $81.25 128 HUNT\_COIN 1.62x 2026-11-10 14:58 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $4.86 7.66 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Sticker | Seeing Red (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seeing-red-foil) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $4.86 7.66 HUNT\_COIN 0.10x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $70.97 112 HUNT\_COIN 1.41x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred) [PeitschenMeister](https://gambatracker.com/players/hunt/PeitschenMeister) $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $3.44 5.42 HUNT\_COIN 0.07x 2026-11-10 14:55 UTC [Sticker | Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $7.49 11.79 HUNT\_COIN 0.15x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) Hidden $50.18 79.03 HUNT\_COIN $49.93 78.64 HUNT\_COIN 1.00x 2026-11-10 14:48 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $50.18 | 86.49% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% extraordinary 0.2% restricted 5.8% covert knife 1.0% other 9.0% mil spec 2.5% classified 6.5% Mythical 20.0% exotic 20.0% violet 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.49 on average: an expected loss of $13.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt